Max heart rate calculator: three formulas, side by side
Estimated maximum heart rate at age 40worked example
180 bpm
- Fox 1971 (220 - age)
- 180 bpmnever validated as a regression
- Tanaka 2001 (208 - 0.7 x age)
- 180 bpm351 studies, 18,712 subjects
- Gulati 2010 (206 - 0.88 x age)
- 171 bpmderived in 5,437 women
- How far apart they are
- 9 bpmthe gap is the honest answer
This page shows Tanaka (208 - 0.7 x age) as its headline figure because Tanaka 2001 pooled 351 studies and concluded that 220 - age underestimates maximum heart rate in older adults; its authors recommend 208 - 0.7 x age for healthy adults. The other two are printed above rather than hidden, because they disagree by 9 bpm at your age and no calculator can tell you which one your own heart follows.
Realistic range
170 bpm to 190 bpm
This is the spread of measured maximum heart rates around an age-based prediction in study populations. It is not a confidence interval for one person: your own maximum can sit outside the band, and only a supervised maximal test measures it.
| Age | Fox (220 - age) | Tanaka | Gulati (women) | Widest gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | 200 | 194 | 188 | 12 bpm |
| 30 | 190 | 187 | 180 | 10 bpm |
| 40 | 180 | 180 | 171 | 9 bpm |
| 50 | 170 | 173 | 162 | 11 bpm |
| 60 | 160 | 166 | 153 | 13 bpm |
| 70 | 150 | 159 | 144 | 15 bpm |
| 80 | 140 | 152 | 136 | 16 bpm |
Where 220 minus age actually came from
Robergs and Landwehr went looking for the derivation in 2002 and found there is not one. The equation traces to Fox, Naughton and Haskell in 1971, who drew a line by observation through raw and mean data compiled from roughly eleven sources, and who did not claim it was a regression. It is printed on cardio equipment worldwide anyway. Tanaka 2001 later pooled 351 studies and found that 220 minus age underestimates maximum heart rate in older adults; Gulati 2010 found the male-derived equations overestimate it in women. This calculator computes all three because readers arrive holding the first one.
A maximum heart rate calculator estimates the fastest your heart beats at all-out effort. This one runs three published equations at once: Fox 220 minus age, Tanaka 208 minus 0.7 times age, and Gulati 206 minus 0.88 times age for women. It shows the gap between them and states that 220 minus age was never a validated regression.
- Maximum heart rate (Fox, 220 - age)convention — HRmax (bpm) = 220 - age. Verified against Fox, Naughton & Haskell 1971, as documented by Robergs & Landwehr, JEPonline 2002 (There is no published regression behind this equation. Robergs and Landwehr traced it to a line drawn by observation through raw and mean data compiled from roughly eleven sources in 1971, and report a standard error of estimate of 7-11 bpm across two decades of HRmax prediction research. It also underestimates maximum heart rate in older adults, which is the finding Tanaka 2001 was written to report.)
- Maximum heart rate (Tanaka, 208 - 0.7 x age) — HRmax (bpm) = 208 - 0.7 x age. Verified against Tanaka, Monahan & Seals, J Am Coll Cardiol 2001 (Derived by meta-analysis of 351 studies (492 groups, 18,712 subjects, r = -0.90 with age) and cross-validated in 514 more; sex and physical activity level did not shift the regression line. It remains a population regression: individual maximum heart rates at any given age scatter around it, and prediction error for age-based equations is reported at 7-11 bpm. This site therefore renders every predicted HRmax inside a +/-10 bpm band.)
- Maximum heart rate in women (Gulati, 206 - 0.88 x age) — HRmax (bpm) = 206 - 0.88 x age. Verified against Gulati et al., Circulation 2010 (St James Women Take Heart Project) (Derived in 5,437 asymptomatic women (mean age 52 +/- 11) followed for a mean of 15.9 years, with a reported standard error of about 9 bpm. The paper's central finding for this purpose is that the male-derived equations overestimate peak heart rate for women of the same age.)
- Prediction error of age-based HRmax equations — standard error of estimate = 7 to 11 bpm; this site renders +/-10 bpm. Verified against Robergs & Landwehr, Journal of Exercise Physiology Online 2002 (This is the spread of measured maximum heart rates around an age-based prediction in study populations. It is not a confidence interval for one person: your own maximum can sit outside the band, and only a supervised maximal test measures it.)
- Target heart rate (Karvonen, heart-rate reserve) — THR (bpm) = (HRmax - HRrest) x intensity + HRrest. Verified against Karvonen, Kentala & Mustala 1957 (Inherits every bit of uncertainty in the HRmax estimate it is built on, plus the accuracy of the resting rate you measured. A resting heart rate taken after coffee or on waking from a bad night can move the answer by several beats.)
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Frequently asked questions
What is the formula for maximum heart rate?
Is 220 minus age accurate?
Which formula should women use?
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What is the Karvonen formula?
Does a higher maximum heart rate mean better fitness?
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Every formula on this page is listed with its source on the methodology page, and changes to any reference value are logged in the data changelog. Canonical URL: https://myhealthmywellness.com/max-heart-rate-calculator